TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles. It specifically evaluates performance during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods, to determine the winner for that specific segment of the game.
If Philadelphia wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles R wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the outcome is less certain. However, it's important to remember that both reflect probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—a Rams win or an Eagles win in the fourth quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that will pay out $1 if their chosen team wins the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the determination will be based on which team—the Los Angeles Rams or the Philadelphia Eagles—has the higher score at the end of the fourth quarter of the game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning team and trigger payouts to those who correctly predicted the fourth quarter winner in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rams or the Eagles would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters—such as a dominant showing by one team or a significant turnover differential—will undoubtedly impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also contribute to price fluctuations.