TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a football game. Bettors predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential return based on how high or low the threshold is set.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the LA Rams and PHI Eagles during the 4th quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026, excluding any points scored in overtime. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, allowing bettors to choose their level of risk and potential reward. Only points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter count—overtime points are excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the actual outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct in their assessments of the Rams-Eagles 4th quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract, essentially representing their forecast for the final quarter’s scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the Rams versus Eagles game will determine whether the total points scored exceed or fall short of the threshold defined in the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions align with the actual game outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rams or Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift traders’ expectations. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game could also play a role, although informed traders typically prioritize data and analysis over general opinion.