TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of an upcoming professional football game between the LA Rams and the PHI Eagles. Each market corresponds to different thresholds of points by which either team might lead at the end of that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the LA Rams and PHI Eagles at the end of the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead meets or exceeds the stated point threshold for that market. Only points scored during the third quarter count; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from narrow leads of over 2.5 points to larger margins of over 10.5 points, covering both possible outcomes—whether the LA Rams or PHI Eagles win the quarter by the required margin. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbook lines, potentially offering an edge to informed traders. Comparing these odds can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The platform facilitates this process by matching buy and sell orders, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly predicting the 3rd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter of the Rams-Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the spread. The platform will verify the outcome against established data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding player injuries to key offensive or defensive players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. In-game developments during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected strategic adjustments, could also lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market as traders react to the unfolding events.