TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between the LA Rams and PHI Eagles specifically during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to different thresholds of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the LA Rams and PHI Eagles during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the LA Rams win the second quarter by more than the specified margin, the corresponding 'LA Rams wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes'. Conversely, if the PHI Eagles win the second quarter by more than the specified margin, the corresponding 'PHI Eagles wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these resolutions, and all markets are independent of each other, meaning each must be evaluated separately against its specific threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, but as the event approaches, the prediction market price often converges towards the sportsbook's line, though it is not always the case. This can be a useful tool for identifying potential value or mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Rams-Eagles 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the spread will fall within that range, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more contracts bought for a specific spread, the higher the price rises, indicating greater confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the game’s likely progression.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Rams-Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Rams or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the price, reflecting shifts in collective opinion among traders.