TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the LA Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles. It specifically tracks scoring performance within the initial 15 minutes of play, determining a clear winner or a tie based on points accumulated during that period.
If Philadelphia wins the 1st Quarter of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles R wins the 1st Quarter of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the LA Rams vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market's pricing is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own assessment of the probabilities. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or even expert analyses, though discrepancies can certainly exist, particularly before significant events or news breaks. It's a different way to gauge potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, the Rams winning the first quarter or the Eagles winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking an early lead. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the Rams versus Eagles game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scoring, as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rams or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations, as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the game and adjust their positions accordingly.