TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the LA Rams and PHI Eagles during the first quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the specified game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The outcomes are determined solely by the game's actual score, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely total points scored in the first quarter than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected total points in the first quarter. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Rams-Eagles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL scoring data will serve as the basis for verification. Traders holding contracts on the correct total points range will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rams or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could prompt traders to reassess their predictions about the first quarter total. The closer we get to Oct 4, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to new information.