TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in the first quarter of their game, focusing on the margin of victory for either side. It allows participants to assess how dominantly a team might start the match, reflecting early-game strategies and execution.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either the LA Rams or the PHI Eagles could win the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin—ranging from modest advantages to significant leads—and resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team meets or exceeds that margin within the first quarter. All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the initial 15-minute period of play, with no consideration given to the final game result or any subsequent quarters. The markets cover a spectrum of possible outcomes, allowing for varied predictions on the strength of each team’s start.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the public’s sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers’ expectations for the Rams-Eagles 1st quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic representation of expectations for the first quarter of the Rams-Eagles game. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the first quarter of the Rams-Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rams or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions for the Rams-Eagles 1st quarter spread, leading to price fluctuations.