TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$104,324,478
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,169,862
483,380
Markets across
36,605
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,881
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Denver Broncos will win by more than 1.5 points against the LA Rams in their upcoming Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of the Broncos winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 78.0%. The market will resolve based on the final point differential of the LA Rams vs DEN Broncos game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the originally scheduled Sep 27, 2026, matchup, with final resolution expected by September 28, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential from the LA Rams vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the LA Rams win by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'LA Rams wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the DEN Broncos win by exceeding their specified margin, the relevant 'DEN Broncos wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on whether the actual point differential meets or exceeds its specific threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate – perhaps due to injury information or other factors not yet fully priced in – the prediction market will diverge. However, it’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, as both markets react to the same late-breaking news and analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set by the sportsbook and don't change based on subsequent betting activity.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the LA Rams versus Denver Broncos game. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual final point spread, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rams or the Broncos would likely cause movement. Changes in quarterback status, particularly, often have a substantial effect on the spread. Weather forecasts for the game location could also influence trading activity, as adverse conditions might favor a particular team’s style of play. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could lead to changes in the price of contracts within this market.