TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either team relative to various scoring thresholds.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game. If the team's points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary for each team, offering multiple levels of scoring performance to bet on. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The game in question is the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football match scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of the event occurring, without an inherent profit margin for the venue. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information and sentiment emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe the combined team score will be over a certain number, the 'Yes' contract price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of different team total scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final combined team score of the LA Chargers and Seattle Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 if the combined score exceeds the threshold implied by the 'Yes' price at resolution, or to 0 if it falls below. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chargers or Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or kicking games, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trading activity. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.