TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the 4th quarter of an upcoming football game between the LA Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks. It highlights the importance of late-game performance, where momentum and strategy can dramatically shift the outcome of a single quarter.
If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles C wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy. Comparing them can highlight where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, creating a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the 4th quarter between the Chargers and the Seahawks. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as prices can fluctuate until the market closes.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—the Chargers or the Seahawks—has the higher score at the conclusion of the 4th quarter of the game. The result will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available from established sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game, as determined by these sources.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Chargers or the Seahawks would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and therefore the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters, like a dominant offensive showing by one team, would also be a major catalyst. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and move the market.