TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks. It specifically tracks scoring performance within that quarter, separate from the overall game result. The outcome depends solely on third-quarter performance, with a tie resolving a specific outcome if both teams score equally.
If Seattle wins the 3rd Quarter of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles C wins the 3rd Quarter of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully priced into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, they can buy or sell contracts, pushing the prediction market odds closer to their perceived true probability. It’s common to see prediction markets as a leading indicator of potential shifts in sportsbook lines, as they can react more quickly to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning the third quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective belief of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially declared the winner of the third quarter of the Chargers versus Seahawks game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for the losing team will receive nothing. The market will close prior to the end of the game to allow for accurate settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chargers or Seahawks would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters – particularly if one team establishes a dominant lead or demonstrates a clear strategic advantage – could lead to substantial movement in this market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected football commentators could sway trader sentiment and affect contract prices.