TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the LA Chargers and SEA Seahawks during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the third quarter count towards these outcomes.
These markets evaluate whether the combined score of the LA Chargers and SEA Seahawks exceeds specified thresholds during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market features a unique point total threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. The outcome is determined solely by the points accumulated in the third quarter, with all other quarters irrelevant to resolution. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold defined in a specific market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored during the third quarter count, ensuring clarity and focus on the designated period. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. If a significant difference emerges, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see both agreement and disagreement, depending on the event and the information available to each group.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter total score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between the LA Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for determining the total points scored during that period. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on this verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Chargers or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive or defensive capabilities could drive price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions.