TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both the LA Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by the LA Chargers and Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter of their game on October 4, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter, with no points from any other quarter contributing to the outcome. Each threshold represents a distinct market, where exceeding that particular threshold results in a 'Yes' resolution for that specific market. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on the collective belief of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a different outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional odds-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids (the price they’re willing to buy) and asks (the price they’re willing to sell), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate a stronger belief that the outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest the opposite. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Chargers versus Seahawks game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chargers or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, reflecting new insights or a change in overall sentiment regarding the expected 2nd quarter total.