TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the LA Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses on determining whether one team manages to secure a lead over the other by various point margins within that quarter alone.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes based on the point differential between the LA Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks exclusively in the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points, for either team winning the quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the specified team achieves the required point differential in that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets collectively provide a detailed spectrum of possible scoring outcomes for the second quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance by either team within that specific timeframe.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the 2nd quarter spread, and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Chargers-Seahawks 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast for the 2nd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 2nd quarter of the Chargers-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Chargers or Seahawks could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media and expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.