TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon will determine whether more than zero goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, counting only goals during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all outcomes. The markets track progressive thresholds: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the final goal count exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct betting outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the prices in this market tend to converge with those offered by sportsbooks, representing a collective assessment of the likely outcome. However, discrepancies can still arise due to differing risk appetites and information access among market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sporting authority, will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning contract in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kyrgyzstan or Lebanon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as any pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.