TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international friendly, where each aims to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time. The contest serves as a preparatory event for both sides, allowing them to test strategies and player performance in a real-game scenario. Fans and analysts watch closely to gauge team form and potential ahead of future competitions.
If Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon both score a goal in the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, can incorporate a wider range of information and potentially offer a more accurate assessment of the probability of both teams scoring. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; if either team fails to score, it will settle in favor of 'No'. The result will be based on the official match statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kyrgyzstan or Lebanon could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also play a role. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could influence trader behavior and move the price. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.