TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon
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What is the result of Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

Volume:
$214,154

Kyrgyzstan

 - Kalshi

Kyrgyzstan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:46 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyrgyzstan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95,162
N/A
N/A
$48,965
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lebanon

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,544
N/A
N/A
$60,399
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,448
N/A
N/A
$20,032
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon. The result is determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on whether Kyrgyzstan will win, Lebanon will win, or the game will end in a tie.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of an international friendly soccer match between Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon scheduled for October 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Kyrgyzstan, a win for Lebanon, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes fluctuates in real-time, and review past price movements to understand market sentiment. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $211,398, and the total volume traded on this market is $214,154. This provides a clear view of how traders are assessing the potential results of the match.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven entirely by trader activity.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final contract prices on Kalshi. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on widely accepted sources of truth for sporting events.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can quickly move the market, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely outcome of the Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match.