TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Kyrgyz Republic or Lebanon, will score more goals in the second half of a FIFA International Friendlies match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets specifically exclude any goals scored in the first half, extra time, or penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kyrgyz Republic" if Kyrgyz Republic score more goals than Lebanon in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lebanon" if Lebanon score more goals than Kyrgyz Republic in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kyrgyz Republic" if Kyrgyz Republic score more goals than Lebanon in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lebanon" if Lebanon score more goals than Kyrgyz Republic in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, information flow and interpretation can vary between the two platforms, leading to different assessments of the likelihood of each outcome in the Kyrgyzstan vs. Lebanon second half. Volume differences also play a role—higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially lead to price discrepancies. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets.