TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a FIFA International Friendly match between Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon. Resolution depends on the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any score not explicitly listed will resolve to 'Any Other Score'.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kyrgyz Republic vs. Lebanon match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kyrgyz Republic vs. Lebanon match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to profit from imbalances in betting. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets often converge closer to the true outcome as the event approaches. This market provides a unique perspective compared to traditional betting venues.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to differing user bases, trading activity, and market dynamics. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying risk appetites and predictive insights. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $19,670 overall – can influence price discovery. Different liquidity levels can lead to price discrepancies, even when both platforms are responding to the same underlying event. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Kyrgyzstan vs. Lebanon score market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either the Kyrgyz Republic or Lebanon would likely cause price movements. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the predicted score. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' performance could drive trading activity. Finally, any official announcements related to the match schedule or rules could also impact the probabilities reflected in this market.