TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Kyoto Sanga and Ratchaburi, focusing on the margin of victory for either team within regular time. It evaluates whether either team secures a decisive win by exceeding specific goal differentials. The resolution depends purely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Kyoto Sanga or Ratchaburi wins the match, excluding extra time and penalties. Kyoto Sanga must win by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals for certain outcomes, while Ratchaburi must win by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals for others. All markets resolve solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors and react more quickly to breaking news than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, predicting the spread will be higher, or the 'sell' side, predicting it will be lower, effectively expressing their views on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded spread as determined by the event organizers. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread at the time of resolution will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Kyoto Sanga or Ratchaburi would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and move the market accordingly.