TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle?

Volume:
$40,250

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 8:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,105
N/A
N/A
$11,682
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,040
N/A
N/A
$4,666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,304
N/A
N/A
$3,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
$1,324
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$991
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$504
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kyoto Sanga and Newcastle, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The event is tied to a specific league and match date, reflecting competitive performance without extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential between Kyoto Sanga and Newcastle in their professional AFC Champions League match scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Kyoto Sanga winning by more than 2.5 goals, Kyoto Sanga winning by more than 1.5 goals, Newcastle winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Newcastle winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the respective market to 'Yes'. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $40,230, and the total volume traded to date is $40,250. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of this soccer contest, allowing you to assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a sportsbook's internal models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market price will move in the opposite direction. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the collective intelligence of many traders is brought to bear on the question.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could cause price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.