TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Kyoto Sanga and Newcastle, focusing exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest determines whether either team secures a victory within regular time or if the game concludes in a draw. Any postponement or cancellation beyond a specified window triggers a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle professional AFC Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Kyoto Sanga wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Newcastle wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the outcome within regular time, with no regard for results determined during extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, these differences can fluctuate as new information becomes available and as both markets react to changing circumstances. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams can contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect trading activity and the overall assessment of the Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle match.