TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kyoto Sanga and Kashima, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds define whether the market settles in favor of one outcome or another.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Kyoto Sanga and Kashima in their Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds determine resolution: Kyoto Sanga winning by more than 2.5 goals, Kyoto Sanga winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kashima winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Kashima winning by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met first and most specifically applies will determine the final settlement. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by a sportsbook, it could indicate an opportunity for value, depending on your own assessment of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if a specific outcome happens in the Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their contracts after the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 21, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other recent matches for either Kyoto Sanga or Kashima could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities. Keep an eye on sports news and the trading volume to understand potential catalysts.