TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kuopion Palloseura and Vaasan Palloseura, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kuopion Palloseura" if Kuopion Palloseura are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vaasan Palloseura" if Vaasan Palloseura are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kuopion Palloseura and Vaasan Palloseura, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kuopion Palloseura" if Kuopion Palloseura are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vaasan Palloseura" if Vaasan Palloseura are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many individuals trading on Polymarket. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading volume occurs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, and it’s a dynamic representation of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Kuopion Palloseura or Vaasan Palloseura – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official game data and verified through widely available sports news sources. The platform will then finalize the outcome based on this information, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first goalscorer.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, shifts in public opinion, and even early betting action in traditional sportsbooks can all contribute to price movements. A surprising result in a similar recent match involving either team could also sway traders’ beliefs and alter the dynamics of this market on Polymarket.