TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Gent wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Gent wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:21h:24m
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This market focuses on the margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Kuopion Palloseura and Gent. Outcomes are determined by how many goals each team wins by, with specific thresholds defining resolution. The event exclusively considers the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets tied to the same professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026, each resolving based on the goal differential between Kuopion Palloseura and Gent after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. The first market resolves to Yes if Kuopion Palloseura wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second resolves to Yes if Kuopion Palloseura wins by more than 1.5 goals, regardless of whether the margin meets the first market’s threshold. The third resolves to Yes if Gent wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth resolves to Yes if Gent wins by more than 2.5 goals, independent of the third market’s criteria. Each market operates separately, and a single match result may satisfy one, multiple, or none of these conditions. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the KuPS vs Gent match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage surrounding the match could contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market fluctuations.