TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kucheriavyi Vadym and Semenets Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 11 at 7:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kucheriavyi Vadym' if Kucheriavyi Vadym wins against Semenets Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Semenets Serhii' if Semenets Serhii wins against Kucheriavyi Vadym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kucheriavyi Vadym and Semenets Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 11 at 7:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kucheriavyi Vadym' if Kucheriavyi Vadym wins against Semenets Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Semenets Serhii' if Semenets Serhii wins against Kucheriavyi Vadym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event’s potential outcomes. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kucheriavyi vs. Semenets match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the Kucheriavyi vs. Semenets match could also contribute to price movements. Significant shifts in volume, particularly leading up to the event, often signal increased conviction among traders and can lead to substantial changes in the implied probabilities.