TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
These markets track the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between KT Wiz and Samsung Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds, with each market having a different required total for a positive resolution.
The markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both KT Wiz and Samsung Lions in their KBO game scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market has a distinct threshold: over 5.5, over 7.5, over 9.5, or over 11.5 runs. If the combined runs exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each evaluates the same game outcome against its specific run total requirement. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain total runs outcome, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total runs outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the KT Wiz versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the KT Wiz or the Samsung Lions would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location are also a significant factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on pitcher matchups or team strategies could shift trader sentiment and alter the odds. Even general public perception and betting trends can contribute to fluctuations in this market.