TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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KT Wiz vs Samsung Lions: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of KT Wiz vs Samsung Lions?

Volume:
$6,487

KT Wiz wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

KT Wiz wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KT Wiz wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,915
N/A
N/A
$3,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KT Wiz wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,108
N/A
N/A
$1,067
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsung Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Samsung Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming game, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers expect one team might dominate the other based on run differentials. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different run-differential scenarios across four distinct markets for the KT Wiz vs Samsung Lions game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a specified team wins by a particular run margin: Samsung Lions by over 2.5 runs, Samsung Lions by over 1.5 runs, KT Wiz by over 1.5 runs, or KT Wiz by over 2.5 runs. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific condition. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Korea Baseball Organization (KBO), and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the official game result as recorded by the KBO.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, as the market can sometimes identify inefficiencies or overlooked factors that sportsbooks may miss. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price of a contract can fluctuate significantly based on trading activity and evolving expectations about the game’s result. The current spread reflects the collective belief of traders on Kalshi regarding the expected run difference.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the KT Wiz versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual run differential between the two teams at the conclusion of the game. The market will determine whether the Samsung Lions win by over 2.5 runs, or not. All results will be independently verified to ensure accuracy and fairness, and the final outcome will be reflected in the settlement of contracts on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence the direction of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the KT Wiz or the Samsung Lions would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, potentially affecting scoring. Furthermore, unexpected performance from either team in preceding games, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.