TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between KT Wiz and Kiwoom Heroes. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about the game's offensive intensity. It provides insight into anticipated scoring patterns for that particular matchup.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total runs scored in the KT Wiz vs Kiwoom Heroes KBO game scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—over 5.5, over 7.5, over 9.5, or over 11.5 runs. For any given market, if the combined runs scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a different outcome is more likely than the sportsbook implies, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the total runs exceeding 7.5. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher prices indicate a greater expectation of exceeding the run total, while lower prices suggest the opposite. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the KT Wiz versus Kiwoom Heroes game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs exceeded 7.5. The resolution will be based on the official, final score, and any adjustments made by the league or governing body will be taken into account to ensure an accurate and fair outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the KT Wiz or Kiwoom Heroes would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact the market, as weather can affect scoring. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or changes in ballpark conditions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.