TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KS Cracovia Krakow and Legia Warszawa, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KS Cracovia Krakow" if KS Cracovia Krakow are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa" if Legia Warszawa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between KS Cracovia Krakow and Legia Warszawa, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KS Cracovia Krakow" if KS Cracovia Krakow are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa" if Legia Warszawa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the probability of either Cracovia or Legia scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team form and potential strategies. Observing these differences can sometimes reveal opportunities for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Cracovia or Legia will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Cracovia or Legia – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. The platform will then finalize the outcome and distribute payouts to winning traders based on their holdings in the respective shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cracovia or Legia would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could sway the market's perception of each team's chances of scoring first.