TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Volume:
$1,397,063
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Europa League match between KRC Genk and GNK Dinamo Zagreb scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with differing resolution scopes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Platform scope divergence: Kalshi offers four total goals thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (win/draw/loss). Both reference the same match and time window but measure different settlement dimensions.Hero Tip:
These markets are complementary, not contradictory. Both platforms consistently exclude extra time and penalties. Traders should verify which dimension (goals or outcome) aligns with their thesis. A Genk win on Polymarket is independent of whether total goals exceed 2.5 on Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four separate over/under total goals markets. Each resolves Yes if combined Dinamo + Genk goals exceed the stated threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If Dinamo Zagreb and Genk collectively score more than [X] total goals... after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: (1) Draw Yes/No, (2) Genk Win Yes/No, (3) Dinamo Win Yes/No. Each resolves based on match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If canceled with no makeup, draw resolves Yes and win markets resolve No. Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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