TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers markets on the October 30th NHL game between the Seattle Kraken and the Calgary Flames. Markets include a prediction on the game winner and several Over/Under markets based on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information, including insights not readily captured by sportsbooks. As a result, this market may offer a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities, especially as new information becomes available. However, both offer valuable perspectives for those looking to analyze the Kraken vs. Flames game.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might have a different fee structure or margin requirements than Predict, impacting how traders approach this market. These differences contribute to the dynamic pricing seen across prediction markets.