TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kraken vs. Avalanche
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 16 at 10:30PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures for the same game. Polymarket offers moneyline and over/under totals with consistent shootout rules, while Kalshi offers only spread/margin markets with no explicit shootout clarification.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you have full coverage (moneyline, multiple total thresholds, spread). On Kalshi, you can only bet on margin outcomes (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins). Kalshi's lack of explicit shootout guidance creates ambiguity—verify with Kalshi support whether a shootout-decided game counts as a 1-goal margin or receives special treatment.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers five distinct markets: moneyline (Kraken vs. Avalanche), four over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and one spread (Avalanche -1.5). All explicitly state: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.' This creates a unified shootout treatment across all market types.
- Kalshi: Offers only four margin-based markets: Seattle wins by 1.5+, Seattle wins by 2.5+, Colorado wins by 1.5+, Colorado wins by 2.5+. No explicit shootout rule is stated. The markets do not clarify whether a shootout-decided game (typically a 1-goal margin in regulation) counts as meeting the 1.5+ or 2.5+ thresholds, or receives different treatment.
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