TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kozachuk Ivan and Romaniak Ivan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 8:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kozachuk Ivan' if Kozachuk Ivan wins against Romaniak Ivan. This market will resolve to 'Romaniak Ivan' if Romaniak Ivan wins against Kozachuk Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kozachuk Ivan and Romaniak Ivan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 8:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kozachuk Ivan' if Kozachuk Ivan wins against Romaniak Ivan. This market will resolve to 'Romaniak Ivan' if Romaniak Ivan wins against Kozachuk Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If there is a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, meaning that the more people believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kozachuk vs. Romaniak match as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their shareholdings at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Kozachuk Ivan or Romaniak Ivan’s performance or preparation could also cause significant price movements. Public opinion shifts, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either competitor winning are likely to move the market.