TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kosovo vs. Türkiye
Volume:
$4,531,354
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Kosovo vs. Türkiye FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifier match scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation time only), determining whether Türkiye wins, the match ends in a tie, or Kosovo wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 31, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Kosovo wins, Türkiye wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and all win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome market resolves YES for whichever outcome applies (tie, Kosovo win, or Türkiye win).
- Exactly one outcome will occur, and markets are structured so that across both platforms, the resolution is logically consistent.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and a final result is determined.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and all win markets to NO. Kalshi resolves its outcome market to YES for a tie result.
- Official Statistics Delay: If official FIFA statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by FIFA or the governing body, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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