TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kosovo vs. Israel
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kosovo vs. Israel?

Total volume:
$64
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$5,898
20%
Open interest:
$44
0%

Kosovo

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:08h:44m

Will Kosovo win on 2026-11-14?

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 52¢ buys you 192 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $192 | Net Profit: $92 Multiplier: 1.92x | ROI: 92% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kosovo

Trade
50%
Yes 52¢No 52¢
4¢
$1,897
$19
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 8h
Active
kalshi

Kosovo

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 11h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50%
Yes 52¢No 52¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Israel

Trade
25%
Yes 25¢No 79¢
4¢
N/A
$44
0%
N/A
$44
1w 4d 11h
Active
polymarket

Israel

Trade
23%
Yes 25¢No 79¢
4¢
$2,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 25¢No 79¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 11h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Kosovo vs. Israel)

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 27¢No 77¢
4¢
$1,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Kosovo and Israel scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Kosovo will win, Israel will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed abandonment and cancellation rules, while Kalshi lacks explicit handling for these scenarios, potentially leading to different resolutions in the event of a disrupted match.Hero tip: Be aware of Polymarket's extended resolution window and potential for replayed games or awarded results, which adds complexity compared to Kalshi's simpler win/tie/loss criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' for a Kosovo win, 'No' otherwise, with extensive rules for abandonment, cancellation, and re-scheduling, resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled or doesn't start by Nov 16, 2026. Source: UEFA Nations League.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Kosovo or Israel wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game is a tie. No explicit rules for cancellation or abandonment are provided. Source: UEFA Nations League.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Kosovo and Israel, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Kosovo vs Israel UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Kosovo market occurs if Kosovo secures a victory within regular time; similarly, a 'Yes' for Israel occurs if Israel wins in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time, with no account for post-match deciding mechanisms such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Kosovo vs. Israel match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $64, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes, allowing you to see where the crowd stands on who will win. It’s a valuable tool for understanding market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations leading up to the event. The current spread between Polymarket and Kalshi is 25.0.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast. However, sportsbooks typically offer more markets and may have different margins. It’s beneficial to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the Kosovo vs. Israel match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume may be more susceptible to price swings. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Kosovo win on 2026-11-14? at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Israel wins at 25.0%. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the potential for arbitrage opportunities.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the official result of the Kosovo vs. Israel match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Kosovo or Israel could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected political developments or travel restrictions impacting the match could also cause movement. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting activity on Polymarket or Kalshi, will also be a key driver. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations and inform your trading strategy.