TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Kosovo and Austria will determine if either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences within the 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference in the Kosovo vs Austria UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Markets specify different thresholds for Kosovo winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and for Austria winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from the resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kosovo vs Austria match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Kosovo vs Austria match, as determined by official match statistics. The market will settle to 100 if Kosovo wins by more than the spread, and 0 if Austria wins or ties. The final result will be sourced from official sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kosovo or Austria would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the overall tournament or competition could also have an effect, as could significant betting activity from informed traders on Kalshi.