TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a UEFA Nations League match between Kosovo and Austria. Resolution depends on the score at the end of 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any score not explicitly listed will resolve to 'Any Other Score'.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Kosovo and Austria, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kosovo vs. Austria match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Kosovo and Austria, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kosovo vs. Austria match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets allow individuals to express their beliefs, leading to a more aggregated and potentially more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of platforms, though transaction fees and withdrawal limitations should be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Kosovo vs. Austria score market can vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery all contribute to potential discrepancies. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to varied perspectives on the likely outcome. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $81,942 overall – can influence price movements, as larger volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome. These factors result in differing probabilities for the same event.