TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines the Kosovo versus Austria UEFA Nations League fixture to determine if each team scores at least one goal during the match's regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The focus is on offensive output from both participants before any potential extra periods or penalty phases.
If Kosovo and Austria both score a goal in the Kosovo vs Austria UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view through trading activity, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at traditional sportsbooks. It’s a dynamic comparison, as sportsbook odds also shift closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Kosovo vs Austria match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective belief of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Kosovo and Austria score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sporting authorities will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final score will be the determining factor for whether this market settles in the affirmative or negative.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kosovo or Austria would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring game. Even tactical announcements from the coaches, suggesting a more attacking or defensive approach, could shift the market. Any information that alters the expected goal-scoring potential of either team could move this market.