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Kosovo vs. Austria
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Kosovo vs. Austria?

Volume:
$4,397,262

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$655,451
N/A
N/A
$299,569
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Kosovo vs. Austria)

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$18,735
$52,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austria

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,859,531
N/A
N/A
$855,058
Settled
No
polymarket

Austria

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$548,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AUT

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,057
$193,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kosovo

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$768,241
N/A
N/A
$304,329
Settled
No
polymarket

Kosovo

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$206,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

KVX

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,944
$33,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Kosovo and Austria scheduled for October 4, 2026. Markets exist for Kosovo winning, Austria winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for game cancellations and draws across platforms. Polymarket treats a cancellation as a 'No' and a draw as a 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi has a dedicated 'Tie' market that resolves 'Yes' on a draw.Hero tip: Consider the differing cancellation and draw handling when trading. Kalshi provides a direct way to bet on a draw, while Polymarket does not. A cancellation on Polymarket will default to 'No' for the win/loss markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "No" for the win/loss markets. Resolution source prioritizes official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore, then consensus.
  • Kalshi: If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes. The markets cover Kosovo win, Austria win, and Tie. Resolution is based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Kosovo and Austria.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Kosovo vs Austria UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Kosovo, Austria, or Tie corresponds to that team winning, the match ending level, respectively. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Kosovo and Austria.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As a result, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. However, both types of odds ultimately aim to predict the probability of an event occurring, and comparing them can provide valuable insights into the perceived likelihood of various results in the Kosovo vs. Austria match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, leading to differing levels of price efficiency. For example, if one platform attracts more informed traders or experiences higher trading volume, its prices may be more accurate or react more quickly to new information regarding the Kosovo vs. Austria match. These differences are a natural consequence of having multiple independent prediction markets.