TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:46 AM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where a win for either side determines the outcome. The result is decided after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the result of the Korona Kielce vs Katowice professional Ekstraklasa soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Korona Kielce wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Katowice wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can provide an early indicator of potential shifts in public opinion, as they are sensitive to information and analysis shared among a wider range of participants. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access or varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Korona Kielce vs Katowice match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. The market depth indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at different price points, showing the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Korona Kielce vs Katowice match – whether Korona Kielce wins, Katowice wins, or the match ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant tactical shifts announced by the coaches could all cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in their league standings, might affect traders’ perceptions and drive price movements. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also contribute to volatility.