TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a FIFA International Friendly soccer match between Korea Republic and Uzbekistan, scheduled for October 6, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Korea Republic winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (FIFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 6, 2026, to see if Korea Republic secures the win as currently predicted.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Korea Republic and Uzbekistan.
The event resolves based on the result of the Korea Republic vs Uzbekistan professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Korea Republic wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Uzbekistan wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with any governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Korea Republic and Uzbekistan.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the insights of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds to balance betting volume, the dynamic nature of prediction markets allows for continuous price discovery as new information becomes available. This market provides an alternative view on the event’s probability.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, which can influence price formation. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform may vary, leading to different levels of price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors a draw at 95%, while Kalshi leans toward Korea Republic winning. These differences highlight how distinct market dynamics can shape perceptions of the Korea vs. Uzbekistan match’s outcome, even when tracking the same underlying event.