TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:15 PM EST
Kalshi
Two basketball teams face off in a league match, with the victor decided by the final score announced by officials.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the basketball game as scheduled. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals assessing the probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying perspectives on the teams involved. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to reflect the latest information and collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish basketball match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the match result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the game, or even weather conditions affecting travel, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could shift the market price, as could broader shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning the Swedish basketball match.