TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Konyaspor and Kasımpaşa SK scheduled for March 8, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Konyaspor wins, whether Kasımpaşa SK wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi define cancellation outcomes inconsistently. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly specify cancellation resolution, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Before March 8, 2026, confirm with both platforms how they handle match cancellation with no make-up game. On Polymarket, a cancellation would resolve the draw market YES and both win markets NO—a logically unusual but contractually consistent outcome. On Kalshi, request clarification on whether cancellation triggers YES or NO for each outcome market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets (Konyaspor and Kasımpaşa): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' All three markets resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome markets (Konyaspor win, Tie, Kasımpaşa win) that collectively cover all possible 90-minute outcomes. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Platform states outcomes resolve YES if their condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but does not address postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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