TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by which team secures a victory within the standard match duration, or if the teams finish evenly matched. Any changes to the scheduled timing of the contest are managed through specific fairness guidelines.
The event determines the winner of a professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, between Konyaspor and Basaksehir, resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Konyaspor wins, the 'Konyaspor' market resolves to Yes; if Basaksehir wins, the 'Basaksehir' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price toward their perceived fair value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Konyaspor vs Basaksehir match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Konyaspor win, a Basaksehir win, or a draw – actually occurred during the scheduled match. The final price will reflect the probability assigned to the correct outcome at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, public perception and any major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also impact trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements.