TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Koninklijke and Kloetinge. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for Koninklijke, a win for Kloetinge, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Koninklijke vs Kloetinge professional Tweede Divisie soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Koninklijke, a win for Kloetinge, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market traders are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and their odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for forecasting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Koninklijke vs Kloetinge match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves.