TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe SK
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe SK?

Volume:
$150,033

Goztepe Izmir

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 10:56 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Goztepe Izmir

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,851
N/A
N/A
$11,174
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Göztepe SK

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kocaeli

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,052
N/A
N/A
$21,286
Settled
No
polymarket

Kocaelispor

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,293
N/A
N/A
$18,088
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe SK)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Kocaelispor and Göztepe SK scheduled for October 18, 2026. Markets exist for Kocaelispor winning, Göztepe SK winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market's resolution may be uncertain in that event. Polymarket offers more clarity on this front.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Kocaelispor/Göztepe SK wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled, resolves 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Kocaelispor/Göztepe SK wins or the game ends in a tie within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Kocaelispor and Göztepe SK.

Kalshi

The event covers a professional Super Lig soccer match between Kocaeli and Goztepe Izmir scheduled for October 18, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kocaeli, a win for Goztepe Izmir, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize participants to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information isn't widely available or when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, making them a valuable complement to sportsbook odds when evaluating the Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Kocaelispor vs. Göztepe match can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, with varying risk appetites and information access. Trading fees and market-making incentives also differ, influencing price formation. Furthermore, the volume on each platform—currently $150,033 overall—impacts price discovery. Even with a shared underlying event, these distinct platform characteristics can lead to temporary divergences in the perceived probabilities of the match’s outcome. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each prediction market.