TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 1.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 11h:03m:34s
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Kobe and Ratchaburi in the AFC Champions League. Participants assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event consists of six sub-markets, each evaluating whether the total goals scored in the Kobe vs Ratchaburi AFC Champions League match exceed successive half-goal thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). All markets resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the cumulative goals meet or surpass the specified threshold for that sub-market. Each rule operates independently, allowing for varied resolutions across the thresholds. The governing body’s official score is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among participants and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where accurate predictions are directly rewarded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely total goals scored.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Kobe vs Ratchaburi match will be used to determine the winning contracts. Resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The market's resolution is dependent on the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kobe or Ratchaburi would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.