TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Kobe wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Kobe wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:58m:13s
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This event tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Kobe and Ratchaburi, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Kobe or Ratchaburi wins the professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. If Kobe wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Kobe wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Ratchaburi wins by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes, and if Ratchaburi wins by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. All outcomes are determined solely by the full-time score of the match as officially recorded by the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a collective intelligence, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and traders react to news and analysis, the odds on Kalshi can converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Kobe vs Ratchaburi match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Kobe will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease, creating opportunities for traders to profit from their insights.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Kobe vs Ratchaburi match, specifically the goal spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league and widely reported by sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Kobe or Ratchaburi would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Major announcements related to the match, such as changes in the starting lineups, would also be catalysts. Unexpected news or analysis from soccer experts could shift market sentiment, leading to price fluctuations on Kalshi as traders adjust their positions.