This event group covers the NBA game between the New York Knicks and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half outcomes, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use the same resolution source (NBA.com official box score), apply identical threshold logic for over/unders and player props, and share consistent edge-case handling for postponements, cancellations, and player inactivity.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Knicks market resolves Yes if Knicks win; Lakers market resolves Yes if Lakers win (Kalshi uses binary Yes/No; Polymarket uses team names)
Spreads: Knicks spread resolves to Knicks if they win by the specified margin or more (e.g., -3.5 requires 4+ point win); otherwise resolves to Lakers; ties resolve to Lakers
Totals: Over resolves if combined score meets or exceeds the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 227.5 resolves Over at 228+); Under resolves if combined score is below threshold plus one
Player Props (Points/Rebounds/Assists): Resolve Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold; resolve No if player meets or falls below threshold, or if player is listed as inactive
First Half Markets: Determined by halftime score only; moneyline resolves 50-50 if tied at halftime; spreads resolve to Lakers if Knicks do not meet margin; totals follow same threshold logic as full game
Postponements: Markets remain open until game is completed
Cancellations: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tie in Spread Market: If the final score results in a tie (e.g., Knicks -2.5 with a 0-point margin), the market resolves to Lakers (the non-Knicks outcome)
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point, all player prop markets for that player resolve to No
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed
Complete Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Overtime Inclusion: All player statistics and game totals include any overtime periods played; the entire game is considered for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime), with official NBA box score publication on NBA.com serving as the trigger for settlement. First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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